By Andrew Goodman, 3/15/2003
Last week, with no small fanfare, Google announced
a new distribution model for their AdWords keyword-based
text advertising: content targeting. For existing
Google advertisers this was an unexpected development.
Although advertisers' ads will be triggered by the
keywords they're bidding on, content-targeted ads
appear in a venue which is significantly different
than search results: namely, next to articles, weblog
entries, or newsgroup postings. Advertisers are allowed
to opt out of Content Targeting if they wish.
The content targeting project was quietly piloted
in the fourth quarter of 2002 on small sites such
as Howstuffworks.com and Weather Underground, as well
as on Google Groups. Google stresses that they're
using more advanced targeting technology than some
of their competitors have used to place ads next to
content. A common method, of which Google is critical,
is to simply categorize sites into broad "channels,"
and serve up ads from advertisers who are bidding
on generic keywords relating to those channels.
Overture, it appears, has been experimenting with
some contextually-based advertising of its own. Overture
ads for Boston-area hotels appear on a Yahoo! Weather
page for Boston, for example. In other cases, it appears
that Overture's attempts to place ads next to content
are at the experimental stage. Minneapolis-based consultant
Ed Kohler, whose company is called Haystack in a Needle,
saw a clickthrough in his log file which had been
triggered by his Overture ad which turned out to have
appeared near a completely unrelated music search
on Yahoo's Launch.com service.
While it's not clear how Overture is attempting to
match content with ads, it's not much clearer exactly
how Google is doing it, either. Susan Wojcicki, a
product development manager for Google Content Targeting,
points out that Google's choice of relevant advertising
is done dynamically, "on-the-fly," by analyzing
the entire content on a page and matching bidders'
keyword-triggered ads with that content. Google, presumably,
has an advantage here because of the large number
of content pages that already exist in its search
index. Unlike many early-generation targeting methods,
matches here may be highly granular. Instead of just
matching advertisers for "shoes" with pages
about "shoes," Google's technology also
aims to match advertisers for highly specific items
like "vintage bowling shoes" with content
about just that. All that being said, there is still
a lot that is mysterious about the process.
Wojcicki argues that the ongoing shift from intrusive
graphical skyscraper ads to micro-targeted keyword-based
ad units from Google "will improve the overall
user experience on the web" due to the "extreme
relevance" of the advertising. One might also
say that this represents a new opportunity for publishers
who have been having trouble monetizing content and
managing ad sales. However, this remains to be seen.
Google's business model at this stage doesn't involve
a revenue share with publishers. Rather, Google makes
a CPM-based offer for a large "media buy"
of ad space, and pays the publisher that rate while
collecting revenue on the clicks. This might be skewed
against publishers insofar as their upside is limited
while Google benefits from rising per-click costs
for this form of advertising. Google takes a risk,
too, though. They stand to lose money if clickthrough
rates are abysmally low and they can't recoup the
initial ad buy.
And the fact is, even with the hyper-targeting, clickthrough
rates might be very low. Reading a novel excerpt online
describing someone's "slightly out-of-date Calvin
Klein dress shirt" is not nearly as action-oriented
as typing "Calvin Klein dress shirt" into
a search engine. In the latter case, the user entered
those words - they are literally the user's creation.
In the former case, the author and publisher put those
words on the page, and the user, while he may be vaguely
interested, he is far less likely to interrupt what
he's doing (reading fiction) to click on an ad. That
premise is being borne out in the early going as the
clickthrough rates on content-targeted ads look to
be significantly lower than CTR's for ads appearing
next to Google search results.
Granted, not everything you see online is a novel
excerpt to be passively read by a "surfer."
Specialized trade publications and highly granular
subjects like weather are likely to offer a better
backdrop for relevant commercial messages. No doubt
this is why About.com's Sprinks advertising service
launched ContentSprinks, keyword-based ads appearing
in the online versions of Primedia trade magazines,
and why rivals like Overture, Findwhat, Search123,
and Revenue Software have all been exploring the content
targeting model.
While clickthrough rates might indeed be lower, Google
claims that their tests show that post-click behavior
(conversions to sales) resulting from content-targeted
ads is similar to that seen with search engine advertising.
Thus, no one in particular is harmed by the low CTR's
assuming there are a large number of page impressions
served daily and assuming the ads don't annoy users
too much.
Industry reaction to Google's announcement has been
lukewarm. Experienced reporters are asking, rightly,
"hasn't content targeting been the whole goal
of online advertising for several years?" It
seems clear that Google's entry into this market is
an evolutionary step, not a revolutionary advance
- although it has sobering implications for traditional
ad middlemen like Doubleclick who have already ceded
a sizeable chunk of the overall web advertising pie
to Google and Overture.
According to Gil Elbaz, co-founder and CIO of Applied
Semantics, a meaning-based search technology firm
which offers ad targeting technologies called AdSense
and DomainSense, "for one reason or another,
past ad targeting efforts have been flawed."
Applied Semantics, which drives traffic to advertisers'
sites through partnerships with Overture, Findwhat,
and individual publishers, believes it brings better
ad targeting to the table than Google offers. For
the time being, Applied Semantics' offerings differ
from Google's in several key ways, some of which might
prove important to publishers. One difference that
doesn't relate to the technological side of the equation
is that Applied Semantics pays publishers on a revenue-share
basis rather than negotiating CPM-based media buys
as Google says it will be doing.
Part of the difference is that Applied Semantics
has focused its entire business on developing a proprietary
categorization database that understands the relationships
between words and concepts. Along with lesser-known
providers of semantic technology to the enterprise
(such as H5 Technologies, which began its life under
a development code name, ejemoni), Applied Semantics
can read and "understand" the meaning of
concepts on a page. Many lesser matching technologies
are likely using rudimentary keyword matching. Applied
Semantics' database, which is updated under the supervision
of lexicographers, contains 1.25 million terms with
"tens of millions of relationships amongst them,"
says Elbaz.
Elbaz also offered some conjecture about how Google's
technology works "based on some industry talk
and our guess as to what they're up to." Essentially,
along with some keyword matching, "they're probably
using some kind of user tracking, looking at statistics
about what readers on content pages tend to click
on."
Applied Semantics hopes that the recent interest
in content targeting will create more interest in
"categorization and semantic analysis" as
another means of improving the relevancy of ranked
search results. The very fact that search engine algorithms
remain largely keyword-based means that they aren't
particularly sophisticated in learning what a page
is "about." According to Elbaz, semantic
researchers such as these Stanford University authors
have argued that current search algorithms are rapidly
approaching a "ceiling" of relevancy. But
there is talk in semantic research circles of a "new
higher ceiling" which would be made possible,
for example, by the use of semantic analysis to classify
search engine spam.
Users, of course, hate spam wherever they see it.
Irrelevant search results, unsolicited emails, and
poorly-targeted, intrusive ads are all turnoffs, notwithstanding
the protestations of some online ad agency dinosaurs
who still believe that intrusive equals effective.
Although targeting technology is far from new, Google's
announcement has placed it in the forefront again.
And whether such targeting is ultimately provided
by a search giant like Google, a multi-channel online
ad middleman firm like Doubleclick, or a laser-focused
upstart like Applied Semantics, it's clear that the
push towards more intelligent targeting is going to
improve the user experience and, publishers hope,
shore up ad revenues enough to make free online content
a worthwhile business model.
From the pay-per-click keyword advertiser's standpoint,
content targeting represents an interesting development.
But for now, most are concluding that when it comes
to finding interested consumers, nothing beats advertising
next to search results.